If the election were held now, UPN would still be the most voted, with 32.8 percent of the vote and 17 seats, which would lead to regional training drops 10 points, and thus the loss of 5 of its 22 MPs. On the other hand, adds the survey, there are approximately 10,000 voters who voted for UPN in 2007 and now are undecided.
The PP as independent option would get 5 seats, to have 9.5 percent of the vote. The vast majority of its voters from UPN. Includes, in addition, new voters and those who abstained in 2007.
According to the survey, the PSN would become the second power of Parliament with 13 seats, one more than now. Thus, after the fall of UPN, will shorten the distance between the regional and social just four parliamentarians, when the actual difference is 10 seats. The rise of PSN from the exchange of vows with UPN NaBai CRC.
For its part, the nationalist coalition, introduced the study, would move to third place. NaBai keep its 12 seats and almost repeat the 2007 results. There is a perceived loss of votes to IU, mainly, but in turn received votes from people who voted no in 2007. Izquierda Unida continue with two seats. Keeps his electorate of 2007 and the votes it receives from NaBai are probably voters who voted at IU in previous elections.
According to the survey, CRC will experience a setback and would get 3.1 percent of the vote and losing one of its two MPs. There is a risk that this training is not reach 3 percent of the valid votes (votes for candidates more blank votes), so it would be without representation in the House. The majority of the votes will go to UPN, but also any PSN, a ratio of 3 to 1.
In the poll is not considered the possibility that a list is close to Batasuna, given its banning. ViaeuropaPress.es
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